22 May 2022

Saga of volatility to continue

Volatility is likely to continue due to month end F&O expiry and weak global market sentiment. Investors will watch out for global PMI levels, Q4 earnings and Fed policy-meeting minutes.

author dp
Team INRBonds
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Domestic indices witnessed V shape trading pattern over last two trading days of the week. On Friday, they rallied sharply as much as 3% on the back of positive global cues due to China�s rate cut.� For the whole week, Sensex & Nifty gained by 3% snapping five weekly declines. Volatility is likely to continue due to month end F&O expiry and weak global market sentiment. LIC shares listed at discount and currently down by 15% from IPO price band.

In the coming week, investors will watch out for global PMI levels and Fed policy-meeting minutes. Q4 earnings will keep domestic investors busy and Delhivery & Pradeep phosphates will list on bourses during this week. �

Equity Market Summary:

       In domestic markets FIIs/FPIs sold 171 billion in April 2022 and sold Rs. 351 billion in May 2022 (as of 22nd May 2022).

       US indices bounced back from lows touched on Friday. However, markets remained volatile during the week amid disappointing forecasts from retailers, including Walmart and Target.

       Industrial production in the US rose 1.1% from a month earlier in April 2022.

       Number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits increased by 21,000 to 218,000.

       European indices closed on positive note on Friday, however, on weekly basis indices declined.

       Latest ECB policy-meeting minutes show concerns over high inflation and agreed that a gradual normalisation of the monetary policy should continue.

       The Japanese economy shrank 0.2% QoQ in Q1 of 2022, 2nd contraction in last 9 months.

       Core consumer price index in Japan, jumped 2.1% in April 2022 from a year earlier, hitting a more than 7 year high.

       The PBoC cut its five-year loan prime rate (LPR) by 15 bps, the biggest reduction since a revamp of the rate in 2019.

       Brent crude prices stayed at same levels compared to previous week, as the investors expect oil demand from China to bounce back as Covid-19 restrictions ease.