10 Apr 2023

Positive momentum likely to continue for Sensex & Nifty

Investors will start to evaluate Q4 earnings performance from domestic companies and inflation data from US will likely to guide on Fed future rate hike path

author dp
Team INRBonds
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�Sensex & Nifty gained by 1.4% during the last week as short covering is seen on indices. Surprise move of not changing the interest rates by RBI during April policy-meeting boosted the market sentiment. However, this looks like a temporary pause in rate hikes and if inflation soars back, we might witness few more rate hikes before actual pivot in interest rates. As a result, 10-year government bond yields declined by 10bps to 7.2%.

�FIIs/FPIs domestic outflows stood at Rs. 224 billion YTD. �In the coming week, all the attention will turn to the inflation data from US & China. FOMC meeting minutes would help investors to understand forward interest rate path in US.

Equity Market Summary:

o   The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note jumped almost 10bps to 3.37% on Friday, after the NFP report showed the US economy added 236,000 jobs in March 2023.

o   The unemployment rate in the United States edged down to 3.5%in March 2023.

o   US ISM Services PMI fell to 51.2 levels in March 2023 from 55.1 levels in February and well below forecasts of 54.5 levels.

o   China General Services PMI increased to 57.8 levels in March 2023 from 55 levels in February, pointing to the largest expansion in activity since last November 2020, boosted by a sharp rise in new orders and employment after the easing of COVID-19 measures.