30 Oct 2023

Global cues to set trend for Sensex & Nifty

Positive macroeconomic indicators from the United States are poised to increase the pressure on Federal Reserve policymakers as they deliberate on the path for future rate hikes. Escalating tensions in the Middle East have led to a surge in crude oil prices. This, coupled with adverse global signals, threatens to cast a shadow over the otherwise promising domestic Q2 earnings season.

author dp
Team INRBonds
Share via:LinkedIn LogoTwitter logo

Sensex & Nifty rebounded by 1% to reach on Friday, breaking a 6-day losing streak, as investors were digesting a batch of healthy corporate results. However, the gains on Friday were not enough to avoid a 2.5% weekly loss in the Sensex & Nifty, as tensions in the Middle East and high global bond yields weighed on the market throughout the week. FIIs/FPIs outflows for the month of October stood at Rs. 203 billion. Domestic primary markets would be raising funds worth Rs. 37 billion in the upcoming week.

In the upcoming week, investors will closely monetary policy decisions from US, UK & Japan, GDP growth data from Euro Area and PMIs of China & India.

Equity Market Summary:

  • On Friday, Wall Street indices experienced a decline as personal consumption and spending data exceeded market expectations, prompting a rapid sell-off across the broader financial markets. These data points hold significant importance in the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting's decision-making process.
  • Core PCE prices in the US, which exclude food and energy, increased by 0.3% from the previous month in September of 2023, the most in 4 months.
  • Profits earned by China's industrial firms fell by 9% Y-o-Y in the 9 months of 2023, slowing from an 11.7 % slump in the prior period.
  • US economy expanded an annualized 4.9% in the third quarter of 2023, the most since the last quarter of 2021, above market forecasts of 4.3%.
  • ECB kept interest rates at multi-year highs during its October policy-meeting, marking a significant shift from its 15-month streak of rate hikes.
  • Crude oil inventories in the US rose by 1.371 million barrels in the week ending 20th October 2023, after a 4.491 million draw in the previous period.