30 Oct 2023

10-year g-sec yield gained by 9.88% in last 10 year

Since last 10-year, the 10-year g-sec yield has declined to 7.36% from 8.72% which resulted in price appreciation. Between 2013 to 2016, g-sec price rose most significantly.

author dp
Team INRBonds
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Change of price and yield of the benchmark 10-year gilt paper

Date

Yield

Price

% change in price

5-Dec-13

9.108%

87.82

 

24-Nov-16

6.229%

105.39

20.007%

12-Sep-18

8.130%

93.79

-11.007%

23-Jul-20

5.800%

99.87

6.483%

14-Jun-22

7.581%

92.99

-6.889%

26-Oct-23

7.360%

98.71

6.154%

From the above table, it can be seen that the 10-year g-sec price rose by 20% when yield fell to 6.229% from 9.108% between 2013 to 2016. After that price fell by 11% when yield rose to 8.13% between 2016 to 2018. From 2018 to 2020, g-sec price rose by 6.48% when yield fell to 5.18%. Since 2022, g–sec price rose by 6.15% as yield fell to 7.36%. 

Government bonds, SDL and OIS yield movements

During the past week, there were several notable changes in bond yields:

The yield for the 10-year benchmark 7.18% 2033 bond yield stood unchanged at 7.36%. Similarly, the 7.26% 2033 bond yield remained unchanged at 7.40%. The 7.06% 2028 bond's yield lost marginally by 1 basis point to 7.35%. In the same line, the long-term paper, represented by the 7.25% 2063 bond, its yield stood steady at 7.53%.

The spread between the 10-year and 5-year bonds stood flat at 1 basis point from 0 basis point difference in the previous week. The spread between the 15-year benchmark and the 10-year benchmark stood flat at 10 bps from 11 basis points. Additionally, the spread between the 30-year benchmark and the 10-year benchmark flat at 16 basis points from the prior 17 basis points over the week.

In terms of the 10-year SDL auction, the average cutoff yield rose to 7.70% as compared to 7.67%, while the rose declined to 32 basis points from 34 basis points.

Lastly, in the Overnight Indexed Swap (OIS) rates, the 1-year OIS yield fell to 7% from 7%, while the 5-year OIS yield decreased by 6 bps to 6.70%.

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