19 Feb 2024

Tight Liquidity in the Market Likely to Push Short-Term Rates Higher

author dp
Team INRBonds
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Weekly Market Movement :

  1. The benchmark 10-year 7.18% Gsec yield rose by 4bps to 7.09% (weekly basis).
  2. INRBonds retail high-yield index declined by 4bps to 9.5855% (weekly basis).
  3. Domestic Inflation reported at 5.1% vs 5.69% in December 2023.
  4. 3M and 6M are being offered at an elevated levels of 8.5% to 8.7% for a A1+ rated issuer.
  5. UGRO Capital public IPO is open for bids.
  6. 10-year UST yield rose by 10 bps to 4.28%.
  7. USD/INR pair traded on a flat note during the last week.
  8. Banking liquidity for the week declined further to a deficit of Rs. 2098 billion

 

Market Data

Particulars

16/2/2024

9/2/2024

Change

10 Yr Benchmark Gsec (%)

7.09%

7.05%

4 bps

Banking� Liquidity (in Rs Billion)

-2098

-1955

-7.31%

5 Yr OIS (%)

6.36%

6.30%

6 bps

1 Yr OIS (%)

6.72%

6.69%

3 bps

14 Gsec Auction Cut-off (%)

7.11%

-%

-

INRBonds Retail High Yield Index

9.59%

9.63%

-4 bps

Nifty

22040

21782

1.18%

10 Yr SDL

7.40%

7.37%%

3 bps

91 Day T-Bill (%)

7.05%

7.01%

4 bps

182 Day T-Bill (%)

7.18%

7.15%

3 bps

10 Yr US Treasury Yield (%)

4.28%

4.18%

10 bps

US Junk Bond Yield (%)

7.66%

7.57%

9 bps

Brent Crude Oil (In USD per Barrel)

83.47

82.19

1.56%

Primary & Secondary Corporate Bonds Data

Primary Public Debt Issuance

Maturity

Yield

-

10.25% UGRO Capital

18 Months (Monthly)

10.72%

 

10.75% UGRO Capital

18 Months (Annual)

10.82%

 

10.35% UGRO Capital

24 Months (Quarterly)

10.74%

 

11% UGRO Capital

27 Months (Yearly)

11%

 

Top 5 Secondary Retail Trades

Maturity

Yield

-

L&T Finance

01-03-2028

8.07%

 

REC

28-02-2032

7.60%

 

Credit Access Grameen

07-09-2028

9.86%

 

Navi Finserv

18-01-2025

10.95%

 

Cholamandalam Investment and Fin

07-12-2028

8.48%

 

Currency Market Data

Particulars

16/2/2024

9/2/2024

Change

USD/INR

83.016

83

0.02%

DXY

104.28

104.11

0.16%

USD/ Brazil Real

4.99

4.9536

0.73%

EUR/ USD

1.0777

1.0782

-0.05%

USD/CNY

7.1936

7.1929

0.01%

USD/JPY

150.18

149.3

0.59%

USD/ Russian Ruble

91.99

90.9

1.20%