11 Mar 2024

Upcoming Inflation Data: The Missing Piece of the Fed's Rate Cut Timeline Puzzle for 2024?

author dp
Team INRBonds
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Weekly Market Movement :

 

  1. 10 Yr benchmark yields declined by 3bps on a weekly basis.
  2. Weekly T-bill auction reported at slightly lower level than compared to previous auction.
  3. Domestic banking liquidity turned surplus from deficit due to lack of new Gsec auctions.
  4. Fed chair Powell mentioned in one of speeches in front of Congress that rate cuts will begin in this year, which lead to UST rally.
  5. 10 Yr UST yield traded at 4.09%.
  6. US non-farm payroll data showed� 275,000 jobs added in February 2024.
  7. Gold prices touched all time highs of USD 2200 per ounce.

 

Market Data

Particulars

7/3/2024

1/3/2024

Change

10 Yr Benchmark Gsec (%)

7.03%

7.06%

-3 bps

Banking Liquidity (in Rs Billion)

529

-1568

133.74%

5 Yr OIS (%)

6.28%

6.33%

-5 bps

1 Yr OIS (%)

6.71%

6.74%

-3 bps

INRBonds Retail High Yield Index

9.56%

9.56%

0.0bps

Nifty

22493

22378

0.51%

10 Yr SDL

7.42%

7.48%

-6 bps

91 Day T-Bill (%)

6.90%

6.96%

-6 bps

182 Day T-Bill (%)

7.13%

7.17%

-4 bps

10 Yr US Treasury Yield (%)

4.07%

4.18%

-11 bps

US Junk Bond Yield (%)

7.49%

7.68%

-19 bps

Brent Crude Oil (In USD per Barrel)

82.08

83.55

-1.76%

Primary & Secondary Corporate Bonds Data

Primary Public Debt Issuance

Maturity

Yield

-

10% Navi Finserv

18 Months (Monthly)

10.47%

 

10.4% Navi Finserv

27 Months (Monthly)

10.91%

 

10.9% Navi Finserv

27 Months (Yearly)

10.94%

 

10.65% Navi Finserv

36 Months (Monthly)

11.19%

 

11.19% Navi Finserv

36 Months (Yearly)

11.19%

 

Top 5 Secondary Retail Trades

Maturity

Yield

-

Arka Fin

05-06-2026

10.25%

 

Credit Access Grameen

07-09-2028

9.83%

 

IIFL Samasta Finance

18-05-2030

10.93%

 

AYE Finance

02-02-2025

9.68%

 

ECL Finance

28-04-2026

10.45%

 

Currency Market Data

Particulars

7/3/2024

1/3/2024

Change

USD/INR

82.754

82.89

-0.16%

DXY

102.74

103.973

-1.19%

USD/ Brazil Real

5.01

4.9942

0.32%

EUR/ USD

1.0938

1.0821

1.08%

USD/CNY

7.186

7.198

-0.17%

USD/JPY

147.07

150.45

-2.25%

USD/ Russian Ruble

90.84

94.867

-4.24%