1 Apr 2024

ECB and BoE could cut interest rates ahead of Fed

author dp
Team INRBonds
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Weekly Market Movement :

 

  1. 10 Yr Gsec benchmark yields declined by 4bps on a weekly basis.
  2. Weekly 3m & 6m T-bill auctions witnessed a rise in cut-off rate on a weekly basis.
  3. Domestic banking liquidity recorded a deficit of Rs. 409 billion.
  4. INRBonds retail high yielding index yield declined by 5 bps.
  5. US core personal consumption expenditure index rose 0.3% (M-o-M), in-line with expectations.
  6. The US Fed chai Powell reiterated that there would be no ruse to lower interest rates till committee members are confident on inflation data.
  7. 10 Yr UST yield traded at 4.20%.
  8. Inflation reading eases in Europe and UK, which could lead to ECB and BoE to cut interest rates ahead of Fed.
  9. Market participants will keenly watch out for RBI policy meeting outcome.

 

Market Data

Particulars

29/3/2024

22/3/2024

Change

10 Yr Benchmark Gsec (%)

7.05%

7.09%

-4 bps

Banking Liquidity (in Rs Billion)

-409

-1368

70.10%

5 Yr OIS (%)

6.35%

6.39%

-4 bps

1 Yr OIS (%)

6.75%

6.78%

-3 bps

INRBonds Retail High Yield Index

9.73%

9.79%

-5 bps

Nifty

22327

22096

1.05%

10 Yr SDL

7.43%

7.43%

0 bps

91 Day T-Bill (%)

6.90%

6.88%

2 bps

182 Day T-Bill (%)

7.04%

7.12%

-8 bps

10 Yr US Treasury Yield (%)

4.20%

4.24%

-4 bps

US Junk Bond Yield (%)

7.44%

7.50%

-6 bps

Brent Crude Oil (In USD per Barrel)

87

86.04

1.12%

Primary & Secondary Corporate Bonds Data

Top 5 Secondary Retail Trades

Maturity

Yield

-

IRFC

31-08-2031

7.50%

 

12% Muthoot Fincorp

Perp

11.54%

 

Nuvama Wealth and Investment

23-08-2027

11.66%

 

HDB Financial Services

19-06-2025

8.25%

 

IIFL Samasta Finance

18-05-2030

10.93%

 

Currency Market Data

Particulars

22/3/2029

22/3/2024

Change

USD/INR

83.342

83.545

-0.24%

DXY

104.49

104.24

0.24%

USD/ Brazil Real

4.985

5.02

-0.70%

EUR/ USD

1.0793

1.0827

-0.31%

USD/CNY

7.2213

7.2295

-0.11%

USD/JPY

151.38

151.02

0.24%

USD/ Russian Ruble

92.46

92.16

0.33%