15 Apr 2024

Increased Volatility Could Offer Potential Buying Opportunities in Gsec

author dp
Team INRBonds
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Market highlights as follows:

 

  1. 10 Yr Gsec benchmark yields rose by 4bps on a weekly basis.
  2. New 15 Gsec 2039 auction cut-off stood at 7.23%.
  3. Domestic March CPI reported at 4.85% vs Feb CPI 5.09%.
  4. Domestic IIP February at 5.7% vs 3.8% in January.
  5. Geo-political tensions between Israel and Iran would increase market volatility.
  6. 6m T-bill auctions witnessed a rise in cut-off rate on a weekly basis.
  7. Domestic banking liquidity recorded a surplus of Rs. 794 billion.
  8. INRBonds retail high yielding index yield rose by 6 bps.
  9. US CPI inflation reported at 3.5%, higher than last month.
  10. 10 Yr UST yield touched 4.5% post strong US CPI data.
  11. Brent crude oil prices could rise in the coming week since OPEC has decided to maintain current supply levels, and ongoing conflicts between Iran and Israel could further tighten supplies.

 

Market Data

Particulars

12/4/2024

5/4/2024

Change

10 Yr Benchmark Gsec (%)

7.14%

7.10%

4 bps

Banking Liquidity (in Rs Billion)

794

1557

-49.00%

5 Yr OIS (%)

6.55%

6.40%

15 bps

1 Yr OIS (%)

6.86%

6.79%

7 bps

INRBonds Retail High Yield Index

9.722%

9.80%

0 bps

Nifty

22519

22513

0.03%

10 Yr SDL

7.47%

7.46%

1 bps

91 Day T-Bill (%)

6.87%

6.88%

-1 bps

182 Day T-Bill (%)

7.03%

7.02%

1.01 bps

10 Yr US Treasury Yield (%)

4.52%

4.40%

12 bps

US Junk Bond Yield (%)

7.87%

7.64%

23 bps

Brent Crude Oil (In USD per Barrel)

90.45

91.17

-0.79%

Primary & Secondary Corporate Bonds Data

Top 5 Secondary Retail Trades

Maturity

Yield

-

CAN FIN Homes Ltd

20-03-2029

8.13%

 

HDB Financial Services

14-07-2026

8.37%

 

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services

25-04-2025

8.15%

 

EXIM Bank of India

18-02-2025

7.55%

 

MAS Finance MLD

03-12-2024

9.34%

 

Currency Market Data

Particulars

12/4/2024

5/4/2024

Change

USD/INR

83.616

83.319

0.36%

DXY

106.01

104.29

1.65%

USD/ Brazil Real

5.15

5.09

1.18%

EUR/ USD

1.0638

1.0836

-1.83%

USD/CNY

7.2373

7.2337

0.05%

USD/JPY

153.29

151.62

1.10%

USD/ Russian Ruble

93.275

92.45

0.89%