27 May 2024

RBI's Record High Dividend to GOI Sparks Yield Curve Rally

author dp
Team INRBonds
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The RBI's approval of a record-high dividend of Rs. 2.11 trillion to the Government of India for FY24 significantly influenced the fixed income market this week. The 10-year 2034 G-sec yields fell by 5 basis points on a weekly basis, touching levels of 6.99% during the week. This development fueled speculations of a potential reduction in the government's borrowing for this fiscal year compared to the last.

Weekly Market Highlights:

  1. 10 year 2034 Gsec yields fell by 5bps on weekly basis. Touched levels of 6.99% during the week.
  2. Weekly T-bill auction saw a significant drop in cut-off rates after the RBI approved a record-high dividend to the Government of India.
  3. RBI approves dividend of Rs. 2.11 trillion to GOI for Fy24.
  4. INRBonds retail index declined by 4 bps on a weekly basis, in-line with Gsec movement.
  5. Weekly Gsec auction cut-off for 2027, 2039 and 2073 stood at 7.02%, 7.043% and 7.15% respectively.
  6. Domestic market liquidity deficit stood at Rs. 2373 billion.
  7. 360 One Prime Ltd public debt IPO is open for bidding.
  8. US Fed policy-meeting minutes show, policymakers are anticipating it would take longer to get confidence that inflation would move gradually towards the 2% target. Expects rates to remain higher.
  9. UST 10 year yields traded on a flat note and closed at 4.46%.

Market Data

Particulars

24/5/2024

17/5/2024

Change

10 Yr Benchmark Gsec (%)

7.00%

7.05%

-5 bps

Banking Liquidity (in Rs Billion)

-2373

-939

-152.72%

5 Yr OIS (%)

6.40%

6.41%

-1 bps

1 Yr OIS (%)

6.81%

6.81%

0 bps

INRBonds Retail High Yield Index

9.70%

9.59%

12 bps

Nifty

22,957

22,482

2.11%

10 Yr SDL

7.35%

7.43%

-8 bps

91 Day T-Bill (%)

6.85%

6.99%

-13 bps

182 Day T-Bill (%)

7.01%

7.08%

-7.07 bps

10 Yr US Treasury Yield (%)

4.46%

4.42%

4 bps

US Junk Bond Yield (%)

7.72%

7.57%

15 bps

Brent Crude Oil (In USD per Barrel)

82.09

84

-2.27%

Primary & Secondary Corporate Bonds Data

Primary Public Debt Issuance

Maturity

Yield

IP Frequency

8.86% 360 One Prime Ltd

18 Months

9.22%

Monthly

9.16% 360 One Prime Ltd

18 Months

9.23%

Annual

8.98% 360 One Prime Ltd

24 Months

9.36%

Monthly

9.35% 360 One Prime Ltd

24 Months

9.35%

Annual

9.16% 360 One Prime Ltd

36 Months

9.55%

Monthly

9.55% 360 One Prime Ltd

36 Months

9.55%

Annual

9.21% 360 One Prime Ltd

60 Months

9.60%

Monthly

9.6% 360 One Prime Ltd

60 Months

9.60%

Annual

9.44% 360 One Prime Ltd

120 Months

9.86%

Monthly

9.85% 360 One Prime Ltd

120 Months

9.84%

Annual

Top 5 Secondary Retail Trades

Maturity

Yield

-

7.46% Mahindra Mahindra Financial Services Limited

24/6/2024

7.95

10% IIFL SAMASTA FINANCE LIMITED

26/11/2026

9.99

9.81% SPANDANA SPHOORTY FIN LTD

2/4/2026

11.36