7 Oct 2024

RBI Policy Meeting and Inflation to Set the Trend for G-Secs This Week

author dp
Team INRBonds
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Weekly Market Highlights:

  1. The 10 year 2034 G-sec yield closed at 6.81% this week vs 6.72% last week.
  2. The highly anticipated RBI MPC meeting is set to commence on 7th October, with 3 new members. The RBI’s policy stance will play a crucial role in driving G-Secs.
  3. The Government has announced a buyback of securities of 2025-26 maturities aggregating to Rs. 25,000 Cr.
  4. 3M and 6M T-bill auction data yields were stable at 6.47% and 6.72% respectively.
  5. The INR Bonds high yield Index stood at 9.907% down 2 bps fortnightly.
  6. The 10Y UST surged 22 bps to 3.97%, as US Nonfarm payroll data for September came in at 254,000 exceeding expectations of 150,000.
  7. The US unemployment rate fell 0.1% with a strong household employment gain of 430,000.
  8. Oil prices are surging as tensions escalate in the Middle East. Brent Crude has risen by 8.5% over the past week, with markets factoring in potential supply disruptions from the region, which is responsible for about one-third of the world's oil supply.

Market Data

Particulars

5/10/2024

27/9/2024

Change

10 Yr Benchmark Gsec (%)

6.81%

6.72%

9 bps

Banking Liquidity (in Rs Billion)

288.36

44.34

550.34%

5 Yr OIS (%)

6.14%

6.03%

11 bps

1 Yr OIS (%)

6.45%

6.40%

5 bps

INRBonds Retail High Yield Index

9.91%

9.91%

0 bps

Nifty

25,015

26,179

-4.45%

10 Yr SDL

7.10%

7.10%

0 bps

91 Day T-Bill (%)

6.47%

6.65%

-17 bps

182 Day T-Bill (%)

6.56%

6.72%

-15.93 bps

10 Yr US Treasury Yield (%)

3.97%

3.75%

22 bps

US Junk Bond Yield (%)

6.74%

6.76%

-2 bps

Brent Crude Oil (In USD per Barrel)

78.09

71.98

8.49%

Primary & Secondary Corporate Bonds Data

Top 5 Secondary Retail Trades

Maturity

Yield

-

12.25% Midland Microfin Limited

19/3/2026

12.67%

10.11% Spandana Sphoorty Financial Limited

18/12/2025

11.72%

10.50% Satin Creditcare Network Limited

4/1/2027

11.69%

10.30% Indostar Capital Finance Limited

25/9/2027

10.85%

11.65% Berar Finance Limited

23/4/2026

11.50%

Currency Market Data

Particulars

5/10/2024

27/9/2024

Change

USD/INR

84.03

82.723

1.58%

DXY

102.52

100.42

2.09%

USD/ Brazil Real

5.32

5.3

0.38%

EUR/ USD

1.0976

1.1163

-1.68%

USD/CNY

7.0176

7.011

0.09%

USD/JPY

148.71

142.19

4.59%

USD/ Russian Ruble

95.007

94.3107

0.74%

Public Issuance - UGRO Capital

Series

I

II

III

Coupon Frequency

Monthly

Monthly

Monthly

Face Value

1000

1000

1000

Tenor

18 Months

24 Months

30 Months

Coupon

10.15%

10.25%

10.4%%

Effective Yield

10.64%

10.75%

10.91%

Base Issue

Rs. 100 Cr.

Green Shoe Option

Rs. 100 Cr.

Total Issue Size

Rs. 100 Cr.

Credit Rating

India Ratings A+/Stable

Issue Open

10/10/2024

Issue Close

23/10/2024

Type of Issue

Secured Redeemable NCD

Buyback of G-Secs

Amount

Rs. 25,000 Cr.

Security

Date of Maturity

7.72% GS 2025

25/05/2025

5.22% GS 2025

15/06/2025

8.20% GS 2025

24/09/2025

5.15% GS 2025

09/11/2025

7.59% GS 2026

11/01/2026