18 Nov 2024

FPIs are net sellers in November owing to an outflow of Rs 472 billion

author dp
Team INRBonds
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Weekly Market Highlights:

  1. The 10-year 2034 G-sec yield edged up 2bps closing at 6.83% for the week.
  2. 3M and 6M T-bill auction data yields were stable at 6.44% and 6.62% respectively.
  3. The INR Bonds High Yield Retail Index stood at 9.92%, down 28 bps fortnightly.
  4. India's retail inflation climbed to 6.21% in October from 5.49% in September, driven by rising food prices and exceeding the RBI's upper tolerance limit.
  5. India’s IIP grew 3.1% in September driven by a low base effect, rebounding from a 0.1% contraction in August and exceeding the expected 2.5% growth. Manufacturing rose 3.9%, electricity 0.5%, and mining 0.2%.
  6. Global brokerage firm, CLSA has increased India’s allocation to 20% overweight while reducing exposure to China, citing India’s stable economy and sidelined foreign flows poised to return. This shift comes despite India’s foreign investor outflows, as CLSA highlights China’s economic challenges and potential trade tensions under "Trump 2.0," with exports key to China’s growth.
  7. FPIs bought Rs. 99 bn in the primary market while selling Rs. 323 bn in the cash market, resulting in a net November sell-off of Rs. 224 bn. They also sold Rs. 472 bn in the debt market during this period. This can be attributed to the earnings downgrade and the US election outcome.
  8. The US core CPI rose 0.3% for the third straight month and 3.3% year-over-year, highlighting ongoing challenges for the Federal Reserve in meeting its target. Job data to drive markets next week.

 

Market Data

Particulars

15/11/2024

8/11/2024

Change

10 Yr Benchmark Gsec (%)

6.83%

6.81%

2 bps

Banking Liquidity (in Rs Billion)

212.26

244.73

13.27%

5 Yr OIS (%)

6.23%

-623 bps

1 Yr OIS (%)

6.51%

-651 bps

INRBonds Retail High Yield Index

10.20%

-1020 bps

Nifty

23,533

24,148

-2.55%

10 Yr SDL

7.13%

7.11%

2 bps

91 Day T-Bill (%)

6.44%

6.44%

0 bps

182 Day T-Bill (%)

6.62%

6.63%

-1.01 bps

10 Yr US Treasury Yield (%)

4.44%

4.30%

14.01 bps

US Junk Bond Yield (%)

6.97%

6.96%

1 bps

Brent Crude Oil (In USD per Barrel)

71.04

73.9

-3.87%

Primary & Secondary Corporate Bonds Data

Top 5 Secondary Retail Trades

Maturity

Yield

-

10.75% MAS Financial Services Limited

10/10/2028

11.15%

9.65% Auxilo Finserv Private Limited

19/7/2027

10.75%

10.90% Earlysalary Services Private Limited

27/3/2026

13.10%

9.90% Vivriti Capital Limited

22/8/2025

10.95%

8.65% IIFL Finance Limited

28/6/2028

11.32%

Currency Market Data

Particulars

15/11/2024

8/11/2024

Change

USD/INR

84.424

84.395

0.03%

DXY

106.69

105

1.61%

USD/ Brazil Real

5.64

5.58

1.08%

EUR/ USD

1.0541

1.072

-1.67%

USD/CNY

7.2309

7.1785

0.73%

USD/JPY

154.34

152.63

1.12%

USD/ Russian Ruble

99.9955

97.5955

2.46%