25 Nov 2024

Domestic GDP and FOMC Meeting Minutes in Focus This Week.

author dp
Team INRBonds
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Weekly Market Highlights:

  1. The 10-year 2034 G-sec yield remained stable at 6.82% for the week.
  2. 3M and 6M T-bill auction data yields were stable at 6.46% and 6.65% respectively.
  3. The INR Bonds High Yield Retail Index stood at 9.92%, down 28 bps fortnightly.
  4. GDP growth and PMI data to be key factors for the RBI MPC meeting on 6th December.
  5. FPIs remain net sellers with an outflow of Rs. 27 Lakh Cr so far in November owing to favorable conditions in China, inflated valuations and earnings downgrade in the domestic market.
  6. WTI crude oil futures traded near USD 71.2 per barrel, supported by geopolitical tensions involving Russia and Iran and rising demand from China and India. Prices also surged last week after Ukraine’s U.S.-backed attack on Russia and Iran's nuclear expansion plans heightened supply concerns.
  7. US PMI rose to 55.3 in November signaling expansion in the private sector. FOMC meeting minutes to drive UST this week. Currently the 10Y UST is at 4.43%.
  8. UK inflation rose by 2.3% in October, higher than BoE’s expectations of 2.2%. The UK10Y was down 1.6 bps to 4.4%.
  9. Japan's inflation came in at 2.3% v/s a forecast of 2.2%. This will be key amid BoJ’s meeting in December. The JP10Y edged up 1 bps to 1.071%.

 

Market Data

Particulars

22/11/2024

15/11/2024

Change

10 Yr Benchmark Gsec (%)

6.82%

6.83%

-1 bps

Banking Liquidity (in Rs Billion)

19.04

212.26

91.03%

5 Yr OIS (%)

6.26%

6.33%

-7 bps

1 Yr OIS (%)

6.56%

6.57%

-1 bps

INRBonds Retail High Yield Index

9.92%

10.14%

-22 bps

Nifty

24,882

23,533

5.73%

10 Yr SDL

7.11%

7.13%

-2 bps

91 Day T-Bill (%)

6.46%

6.44%

2 bps

182 Day T-Bill (%)

6.65%

6.62%

3.01 bps

10 Yr US Treasury Yield (%)

4.43%

4.44%

-1.01 bps

US Junk Bond Yield (%)

6.95%

6.97%

-2 bps

Brent Crude Oil (In USD per Barrel)

74.32

71.04

4.62%

Primary & Secondary Corporate Bonds Data

Top 5 Secondary Retail Trades

Maturity

Yield

-

8.40% HDFC Credila Financial Services Limited

30/6/2032

9.25%

9.90% Vivriti Capital Limited

22/8/2025

10.95%

9.60% Creditaccess Grameen Limited

23/11/2025

10.37%

9.75% Muthoottu Mini Financiers Limited

13/9/2026

12.00%

10.25% Aye Finance Private Limited

20/3/2026

11.80%

Currency Market Data

Particulars

22/11/2024

15/11/2024

Change

USD/INR

84.333

84.424

-0.11%

DXY

106.95

106.69

0.24%

USD/ Brazil Real

5.66

5.64

0.35%

EUR/ USD

1.048

1.0541

-0.58%

USD/CNY

7.2443

7.2309

0.19%

USD/JPY

154.05

154.34

-0.19%

USD/ Russian Ruble

103.7071

99.9955

3.71%